Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.006351 0.007309 0.008426 0.009841 0.011608 0.013775 0.016687
2025-11-23 0.005140 0.006331 0.007864 0.010041 0.013153 0.017621 0.024892
2025-11-30 0.004345 0.005579 0.007270 0.009857 0.013924 0.020495 0.033023
2025-12-07 0.003757 0.004966 0.006698 0.009500 0.014236 0.022662 0.041125
2025-12-14 0.003370 0.004565 0.006342 0.009361 0.014812 0.025441 0.052292
2025-12-21 0.003168 0.004399 0.006302 0.009704 0.016306 0.030600 0.073693
2025-12-28 0.003033 0.004312 0.006363 0.010222 0.018283 0.037837 0.110655
2026-01-04 0.002854 0.004131 0.006240 0.010369 0.019534 0.044059 0.155964
2026-01-11 0.002662 0.003907 0.006010 0.010261 0.020177 0.049039 0.208650
2026-01-18 0.002514 0.003741 0.005861 0.010285 0.021149 0.055782 0.297109
2026-01-25 0.002344 0.003522 0.005590 0.010008 0.021272 0.059764 0.386367
2026-02-01 0.002177 0.003294 0.005279 0.009593 0.020915 0.061789 0.472951
2026-02-08 0.002018 0.003080 0.004992 0.009238 0.020779 0.065415 0.634265
2026-02-15 0.001934 0.002991 0.004939 0.009412 0.022303 0.078515 1.249235
2026-02-22 0.001822 0.002844 0.004755 0.009244 0.022716 0.086851 2.183236
2026-03-01 0.001706 0.002680 0.004520 0.008917 0.022507 0.091666 3.535848
2026-03-08 0.001621 0.002566 0.004376 0.008790 0.022960 0.101740 8.185222
2026-03-15 0.001583 0.002537 0.004402 0.009104 0.025164 0.129306 115.806746
2026-03-22 0.001559 0.002533 0.004481 0.009577 0.028280 0.175547 NaN
2026-03-29 0.001511 0.002477 0.004439 0.009711 0.030090 0.217125 NaN
2026-04-05 0.001449 0.002390 0.004324 0.009613 0.030827 0.249593 NaN
2026-04-12 0.001400 0.002326 0.004253 0.009635 0.032190 0.301701 NaN
2026-04-19 0.001336 0.002229 0.004098 0.009381 0.032065 0.327567 NaN